Is Iran’s Attack On Israel A Well-Staged Political Drama?

Iran wants to do anything to secure its image. They were humiliated by the attack conducted by Israel on their consulate in Syria. An attack on their embassy is a big humiliation and a violation of international laws, in which Israel doesn’t have an interest. The Iranian government said they will seek vengeance. Though no country in the Middle East is ready or capable of fighting with Israel, Iran knows it. But Iran did it. They flew almost 300 drones and missiles to Israel on April 14th. Iran’s attack on Israel was obstructed by the US, UK, and Israel. But the following events make Iran’s attacks dubious as well-planned political drama. There is news coming that the attack was carried out after informing neighboring countries and Turkey. Iran said they are stopping further attacks after, and they said they balanced the humiliation they got from the consulate attack. For Israel, they gained something to present to the world after experiencing the huge negative impact of the continuing attack on Gaza. For the US and UK, they can say they protected Israel, which is important for the elections coming in these countries. So Iran’s attack on Israel is a win for all.

Since the formation of Modern Israel, tensions have existed between Israel and its Muslim neighbors, leading to a lot of wars. Though there was a brief period of peace in the last decade, which led to relations between Israel and prominent Arab countries reaching an all-time high. Credit for this goes to Donald Trump, who worked out these relationships. However, the Hamas attack on October 7th turned all scenarios upside down. When Israeli people’s anger flared up due to failures in governance and safety, as well as Hamas’ capture of Israeli citizens as hostages, Israel started an attack on Gaza. When this attack on Gaza continues after several months, it seems that the situation in the Middle East is becoming less volatile, which is interesting, considering the suffering of people in Gaza. Hamas leaders may find refuge in Qatar, and Hezbollah is reluctant to intervene. Neighboring countries are not ready to participate, and Islamic leaders like Saudi Arabia and Turkey are not overly interested in these issues. However, attacking a consulate and killing officials severely damaged Israel’s reputation, and the killing of aid workers probably set Israel back. On this occasion, Iran’s drone missiles were flown to Israel. Everyone, including the US, was aware of Iran’s attack on Israel. Iran actually seized the opportunity to make a counter-attack on Israel, becoming a Muslim country still capable of fighting against Israel. Israel can use this to show the world that there is a threat to them. Though Israel easing restrictions and Iran stating they will not fight further, all seems settled.

While Israel’s top general, Lt. Gen. Herzi Halevi, provided the clearest confirmation yet since the attack that Israel would retaliate, the likelihood of a full-scale war appears to be diminishing. There will be targeted attacks from Israel to Iran or its allies. As two countries, Israel and Iran do not share a land border, but Iran’s closest allies, Syria and Lebanon, are neighbors of Israel. However, attacking these neighbors is not a good idea for Israel now. There is doubt that the US or UK will not stand with this idea, and there is discontent against Netanyahu in Israel, a prolonged war will only escalate this. Attacking Syria will draw Russia and the US directly into the warfare, leading to a devastating situation. Iran is sure that airstrikes against Israel will not work out; they are well prepared for it. Moreover, Iraq will not always cooperate with Iran to use their sky as a pathway for missiles. Attacking through the sea is almost impossible, but they can intercept Israel-linked ships from the Persian shore or Arabian sea with the help of Houthis. Iran is already holding an Israel-linked ship for violating the rules.

The war on social media and targeted killings will continue. Israel, the US, and the UK will support the campaign against Iran, while Iran will aid terrorist organizations fighting against Israel. This pattern is likely to persist, as per analysis of a new world order. In modern times, starting a war is easy, but ending it is incredibly difficult. A possible deadlock and a perpetual war will be the result of modern war. The Ukraine war serves as a good example of this. Russia cannot progress further, even though they have been severely impacted economically and politically, despite their experience in warfare and possession of high artillery. Economic setbacks are not tolerable in modern politics, which are highly intertwined with business interests. Therefore, the likelihood of further escalating tensions into a full-scale war between Israel and Iran is low.Yet, the drama, Iran’s attack on Israel was well-staged and appealing.